Saturday, August 28, 2004

Keeping Perspective

There's been quite a bit of negativity surrounding a couple of polls which now show Kerry behind Bush, but within the margin of error. The joke going around is "John Kerry read that this was his race to lose, and he's giving it his best shot." Some of the negativity this week reminds me of the feelings a couple of month before the Iowa caucus, when people had Kerry written off. What is important is what happens on voting day, and there is a lot more to come in this campaign.

This could be the high point of Bush's campaign (and could stretch through the immediate post-convention bounce.) Right now polls reflect all the negative impact of the Swift Boat Liars' attacks without yet reflecting his defense. All the articles from the last few days verifying Kerry's war record could help in the end, and there may yet be a backlash against Bush's negative campaign tactics.

Kerry's advertising campaign is also on a hiatus this month. Initially Kerry planned to refrain from any advertising in August to save the matching funds, but did ultimately have to respond to the Swift Boat ads. Full resumption of the ad campaign in September should also have an impact.

We must also look at the task each candidate has to face. The undecided voters believe Bush has done a poor job, but don't yet feel comfortable about Kerry.

Bush must convince people who already dislike him to vote for him. He's trying to do this by making Kerry seem even worse. Kerry just has to win over the people who don't know enough about him--they already dislike Bush.

Perhaps this election will also come down to whether people vote based upon the trivial arguments of the Bush ads, or look at the big picture.

If people decide on Bush's terms, then Bush will win based upon all the nonsense in the ads. The Republicans are masters of going negative and obfuscating the real issues.

If Kerry can get people to look at the big picture, as to what type of country and world we will have for the next decade, and ignore the nonsense attack ads, then he wins.

Right now the media, especially cable news, is concentrating on the type of arguments seen in the attack ads. In September and October, Kerry will further define the differences between himself and Bush, and further show where this country is going should we be faced with four more years (and perhaps four more wars).

This difference will also be seen in the debates as the two candidates get a chance to show the direction they want to take the country in. Kerry can present an alternative to Bush's future of a United States isolated in the world, with a government reduced to the point of doing little more than helping the super-wealthy.

When confronted with these differences, hopefully most Americans will want to be part of the world community, and understand that this is essential to waging an effective war on terrorism. Hopefully they will understand the need to preserve Social Security and Medicare, and to protect the air we breath and water we drink.

This reminds me of a bumper sticker I saw yesterday:

Save The World
Vote for Kerry

10 Comments:

Blogger Pamela Leavey said...

I've got my perspective firmly rooted in Kerry!

11:52 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ron.

You remember about a month ago (before the Swifties) started that I said on the Kerry blog something was coming?

JK is being Dukakised day after day. And the campaign is performing miserably in dealing with this. The odd thing is that Shrub is doing to Kerry precisly what was done to Dean (by himself and others) and the Kerry campaign is performing about as well as the Dean campaign did.

Whats bad is that this was all predicatable.

There seem to be surprises after surprises something that opo research should have picked up.

Robert G. Oler cvn65vf94@hotmail.com

7:43 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dear Senator Kerry: I'm a Vietnam Vet also; served two tours as an Air Force Pilot. I flew close air support missions in the Mekong/Basac river Delta area where you were a self-inflicted shrapnel magnet, during the same time, Spring of 69.I wish I had known you so you could have taught me how to scam the whole military system with the 'three Purple Hearts-Go Home Free' game. You're still scamming us to this day!!
Could you recommend a radical Islamic Mosque for me to join in order to avoid the rush as I'm convinced you will surrender to Osama Bin Laden as soon as you are sworn in. Could you also recommend a good orthopedic and neurosurgeon so I can have my spine and brain removed in order to become a good democrat? Thanks, John Lamb, Major, USAF [retired].

4:03 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

John Lamb...you retired as a Major? Gee who did you make unhappy.

Robert G. Oler

4:28 PM  
Blogger Pamela Leavey said...

Robert

LOL!

Evidently the Major has nothing better to do than slander.

4:43 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

8:04 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I suppose all those fine officers who are against kerry are all liars right. What about the silver star with the v for valor?

12:54 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

The blog administrator obviously has as weak a stomach for truth as Kerry does.

3:34 PM  
Blogger daisy democrat said...

This Time poll farce has only lit a fire under our asses and will make us work harder.

4:11 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Ain't it hilarious how repugnicans infiltrate all the sites against Bush? I've never sought out Bush sites in my free time. I'm not that hateful. I'm not sure what their motivation is but they might as well be pissing in the wind because it ain't going to make us support Bush. The Bush team has actually sent out people on the internet to do this since there are so many Americans who truly hate Bush.

4:17 AM  

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